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geopolitics

412 markets

Politics

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

7%
$1.3M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

3%
$1.2M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

US x Russia military clash by...?

5%
$1.1M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

US strike on Mexico by...?

10%
$731.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5%
$635.2K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

7%
$533.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu30%
Naftali Bennett8%
17 more
$482.8K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
Geopolitics

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

5%
$346.4K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

India strike on Pakistan by...?

14%
$327.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 3087%
October 3177%
2 more
$293.3K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%
$292.5K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

9%
$276.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

6%
$272.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by...?

9%
$254.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3158%
September 3017%
4 more
$251.7K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Israel closes its airspace by...?

76%
$234.5K Vol.•Ends Oct 1, 2026
Politics

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

3%
$214.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

6%
$212.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

US x China Military clash before 2027?

4%
$207.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

4%
$194.8K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

2%
$194.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

3%
$186.0K Vol.•Ends Sep 30, 2026
Politics

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

9%
$185.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

EU dissolves before 2027?

1%
$180.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%
$179.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

91%
$167.6K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

4%
$167.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

6%
$165.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

3%
$162.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

3%
$162.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

7%
$153.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?

September 301%
December 314%
$153.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

6%
$152.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

2%
$149.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

September 301%
December 3110%
2 more
$145.8K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

9%
$140.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

6%
$131.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

0%
$128.2K Vol.•Ends Sep 15, 2026

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

September 453%
September 1163%
3 more
$128.1K Vol.•Sep 30, 2026
Politics

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

6%
$126.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

17%
$124.5K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

9%
$114.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%
$113.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

4%
$112.5K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

September 301%
December 312%
$111.7K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

December 31, 20267%
September 30, 20261%
1 more
$110.4K Vol.•Jul 1, 2027
Politics

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

4%
$105.7K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

3%
$104.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027