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politics

2555 markets

Fed Decision in September?

50+ bps decrease0%
25 bps decrease0%
3 more
$2.3M Vol.•Sep 16, 2026
Politics

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

7%
$1.3M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

3%
$1.2M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

US x Russia military clash by...?

5%
$1.1M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

6%
$748.2K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

US strike on Mexico by...?

10%
$731.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5%
$635.2K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election

Tarcisio de Freitas0%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva57%
17 more
$539.9K Vol.•Oct 4, 2026
Politics

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

7%
$533.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom14%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
49 more
$525.1K Vol.•Nov 7, 2028

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu30%
Naftali Bennett8%
17 more
$482.8K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Donald Trump2%
J.D. Vance50%
40 more
$447.4K Vol.•Nov 7, 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance25%
Gavin Newsom7%
50 more
$402.0K Vol.•Nov 7, 2028

Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?

160-1791%
180-19947%
16 more
$351.4K Vol.•Sep 8, 2026
Politics

India strike on Pakistan by...?

14%
$327.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

96%
$322.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen36%
Jordan Bardella2%
39 more
$311.2K Vol.•Apr 30, 2027

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 3087%
October 3177%
2 more
$293.3K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%
$292.5K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

9%
$276.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

6%
$272.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

PL82%
PSD1%
10 more
$260.5K Vol.•Oct 4, 2026

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Netflix0%
Comcast0%
2 more
$255.8K Vol.•Jun 30, 2027
Politics

Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by...?

9%
$254.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3158%
September 3017%
4 more
$251.7K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Israel closes its airspace by...?

76%
$234.5K Vol.•Ends Oct 1, 2026
Politics

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

3%
$214.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

6%
$212.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)69%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%
6 more
$208.4K Vol.•Sep 20, 2026
Politics

US x China Military clash before 2027?

4%
$207.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

4%
$194.8K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

2%
$194.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

9%
$185.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

EU dissolves before 2027?

1%
$180.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%
$179.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?

60-790%
80-990%
21 more
$171.2K Vol.•Sep 11, 2026
Politics

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

91%
$167.6K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

4%
$167.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

6%
$165.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

3%
$162.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

3%
$162.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

2%
$158.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

21%
$158.0K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Politics

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

7%
$153.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?

September 301%
December 314%
$153.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

6%
$152.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

JD Vance out as VP by...?

6%
$150.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

2%
$149.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027