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US x China Military clash before 2027?

Geopolitics

Eventcmtla1o79063kmv01nvi02ysk
Closes in

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

24H VOLUME

$207.6K

LIQUIDITY

$207.6K

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (12)

pink.impala Aug 29

Its bout to go down in clashes over Nepal, its being politically captured by US for use as battering ram against China!

pink.impala Aug 29

The upcoming announcement by the American regime of billions of dollars in aid for disaster-stricken Nepal indicates that the catastrophe was not a natural occurrence.

paulmonday Aug 1

Yes, that's the point. If it resolves to yes, you lose money, but money is useless in the scenario of "yes", so you actually lose nothing.

trustinmoi May 4

but fallout happens when it resolves to yes

0x359d02541106865F12Dec943d732AC8D5236Dd5E-1774429976824 Apr 25

If it resolves to no, take the money, otherwise, money is useless anyway in a fallout, so no loss at all.

iutwpfal Apr 13

What is a kiss if not a tender headbutt?

iutwpfal Apr 13

Non-violent ramming sounds fun

iutwpfal Apr 13

Non-violent actions such as warning shots, lol

iutwpfal Apr 13

World war 3 quality reefers

DontTrustMe Mar 19

What Yes-buyers have been smoking today?

White-Knight Jan 19

If the US take greenland, with what reasoning will the US prevent China from invading Taiwan? However this move by china will not be left unanswered by the US, as the US cant let China control the waters.

-0- Jan 18

The creativity makes me giggle. Who comes up with this kind of stuff?

Yes

Potential payout$625.00