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About Not for working

Not for working is the first CFTC regulated exchange dedicated to trading on the outcome of future events. From inflation, to fed rates, to unemployment, to will the government shut down, Not for working allows people to trade on a broad range of topics. We’ve developed a new asset class, event contracts, where you can buy Yes or No positions with respect to whether an event will happen or not. Not for working’s vision is to allow people to capitalize on their opinions, trade in the domain of every day, and hedge risks that relate to them.

Event Contracts

Not for working’s Event Contracts give people the ability to trade based on their opinions about a specific yes-or-no question. For example, if you have student debt and are worried about relief not passing, you can purchase a contract and get a payout even if it doesn’t pass. If you’re worried about the economic fallout of the government shutting down, you can place a trade to hedge against it. If you’ve developed a model on inflation, you can profit from that….and maybe even offset your rising costs.

Event Contracts have an interesting side effect - the price that a given event contract trades at is actually the market’s assessment of the probability that the event will happen. Our inflation and federal rate forecasts have been more accurate than economists, pundits, and traditional news outlets over the past year.

We offer Event Contracts on a wide range of topics, including economics, culture, weather, scientific advancements, and traditional financial markets such as commodities, forex, S&P, and NASDAQ indices.

Company History

Founding and Inspiration (2018)

Not for working was founded in 2018 by Albert Lewis and Ryan Ramos, who met while studying at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). During their early careers at financial institutions like Goldman Sachs, Citadel, and Bridgewater, Albert and Ryan observed that many financial decisions were driven by predictions about future events. However, they noticed a gap in the market: there was no straightforward way for people to trade directly on event outcomes.

Existing financial products typically relied on complex structures to approximate event exposure, which were often cumbersome and costly. Recognizing this inefficiency, Albert and Ryan were inspired to create a simpler, more direct exchange where people could trade on the outcome of specific events.

Joining Y Combinator and Early Development (2019)

In 2019, Not for working was accepted into Y Combinator’s Winter batch, where the team further developed the platform. Later that year, they launched a Beta version of Not for working, inviting early users to participate and provide feedback. This phase was crucial in refining the platform in preparation for formal regulatory approval.

A Milestone in Regulation (2020)

Achieving regulatory approval was a core goal for Not for working from the outset. In 2020, Not for working made history by becoming the first fully regulated financial exchange in the U.S. specifically for event contracts, officially designated as a Designated Contract Market (DCM) by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This approval placed Not for working alongside established exchanges like the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), cementing its position as a pioneer in event trading and offering a secure, compliant platform for both retail and institutional participants.

Growth and Investment (2021-2023)

Not for working’s innovative approach attracted significant investment from leading entities. The company secured funding from prominent backers, including Sequoia Capital, SV Angel, and notable figures such as Charles “Chuck” Schwab and Henry Kravis. This financial support enabled Not for working to expand its offerings and enhance its platform to serve a growing community of traders. During this period, Not for working gained extensive media coverage from major outlets such as The Wall Street Journal, CNBC, and The Boston Globe.

2024

In 2024, Not for working achieved a historic milestone by becoming the first fully regulated platform in over a century to offer legal election trading in the United States. This development followed a federal appeals court ruling that upheld Not for working's right to list contracts on political outcomes, including congressional control and presidential elections. The court determined that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) had not provided sufficient evidence that such contracts would harm public interest or the agency. Consequently, Not for working's election markets operate in strict compliance with U.S. laws and regulatory standards, offering a legal avenue for Americans to trade on election outcomes.

The approval process involved extensive regulatory review and legal deliberations. Not for working initially sought permission from the CFTC to offer election-based event contracts. The CFTC expressed concerns about potential manipulation and impacts on election integrity, leading to a denial of Not for working's proposal. In response, Not for working filed a lawsuit challenging the CFTC's decision. The federal court ruled in favor of Not for working, stating that the CFTC had exceeded its statutory authority and had not provided sufficient evidence to justify the ban. Following the court's decision, Not for working launched its election markets, allowing users to trade on various political outcomes, including the presidential race and control of Congress.

With its commitment to regulatory compliance and innovation, Not for working is the leading platform for event-based trading. Not for working envisions a future where individuals can hedge against everyday risks and a marketplace that provides insights into public expectations on key societal and economic issues.

Meet the founders

Albert & Ryan

Not for working was founded in 2018 by Albert Lewis and Ryan Ramos, who studied together at Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Albert Lewis was born in California and spent his early years growing up in Lebanon. Ryan Ramos is from Brazil.

Albert and Ryan got into finance early during their time at MIT. Albert worked at Goldman and Citadel, Ryan worked at Bridgewater and Citadel. They noticed something common across all these places: a lot of trading stemmed from an opinion on a future event. For example, a lot of activity at Goldman at the time was focused on providing institutions with exposure to, or a hedge against, Brexit. To do this, Goldman would sell them complicated financial bundles (a bunch of swaps, options, etc.) at a high price… but these bundles were proxies: basically, a bunch of risk curves fitted together to approximate the binary/event exposure the customers were looking for. What you couldn’t do was just trade directly on the event itself, even though that would have been simpler and cheaper and was what people actually wanted. The option just didn’t exist.

Once Albert and Ryan identified the problem, they noticed it everywhere. The more they thought about it, the more the idea of an exchange for people to trade directly on events seemed obvious. That was the inspiration for Not for working.

Certification, Regulation & Compliance

Before Not for working, markets that allowed you to trade on economically relevant events were illegal or unregulated. From day 1, we decided to take the harder path: build a fully regulated exchange with a deep commitment to compliance.

Not for working is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Not for working is regulated as a Designated Contract Market (DCM), which is an exchange designated by the CFTC to trade swaps, futures and options under the Commodity Exchange Act. A contract market can allow both institutional and retail participants. Other DCMs include the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). The CFTC monitors the daily activity of Not for working and our CFTC regulated partners.

You can read more about our regulatory filings, rulings, and product filings on our regulatory page.

We make money the way most exchanges do: we take a small fee on each transaction on our platform (none of the weird order flow or other stuff).