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US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Geopolitics

Eventcmtla1nnb05k2mv01c3zaf5a8
Closes in

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the "leader of Iran" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for "leader of Iran" status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "prime minister," or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

24H VOLUME

$635.2K

LIQUIDITY

$635.2K

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (25)

0x6d33aff0bFaaE14AbDB81DC93CB1dFd0828D360E-1770002215824 Apr 15

Javid Shah

xlefgerx Mar 18

That's someone with Trump Derangement Syndrome or TDS. The symptoms include delusions about polymarket orderbooks (that we can all see, by the way) being deep enough to even equal 0.00001% of Trumps net worth. As I type this there are 105,000 yes shares available and 100,000 no shares. 100k isn't even close to 1 billion. Being a liberal turns your brain to mush. Now lets all point and laugh at the dunce. lol

alpaje Mar 12

why are you saying that

Sneazy5789 Mar 8

comment blocked?

Sneazy5789 Mar 8

Free money on Yes

slut4trading Mar 7

Baron: Dad you know the drill. Make ppl believe you don't support RP so we can buy the yes on polymarket for dirt cheap and 8x our money.

slut4trading Mar 7

Baron: Dad you know the drill. Make ppl believe you don't support RP so we can buy the yes on polymarket for dirt cheap then 8x our money.

slut4trading Mar 7

Baron: Dad, you know the drill. Make it seem like there's no chance you will support Reza Pahlavi so we can buy "yes" on polymarket for dirt cheap and 8x our investment

GTJ Mar 4

have you seen the prank call lol

Hermit47 Mar 1

i compromised

HolyDiver Mar 1

1. There might be a ceasefire deal 2. There might be a power vacuum or a long war/civil war, with an unstable government in Iran 3. Why would they even choose Reza Pahlavi?

Chims Mar 1

look venezuela

FumCace123 Feb 28

your crazy to not buy this... you have a whole year

Prince-of-Persia Feb 18

Whatever happened there

Absolute.Degenerate Jan 31

nobody is here to debate this shit, my guy.

Absolute.Degenerate Jan 31

yeah so ? who cares.

Angelowski Jan 18

eating grilled cheese from the radiator

Dragonash Jan 15

20 years in the can

MEPP Jan 15

I doubt it [link removed]

atnkan Jan 11

Make Iran Great Again

amirsh83 Jan 7

javid shah

news-trader Jan 7

yeah get a pic of him at the wall with the yamaka on, odds would go up

boethbubbles Jan 6

lets go!!

Abigxil Jan 6

The U.S. isn't recognizing Pahlavi because they love the monarchy; they're doing it because they need a credible 'Plan B' for when the IRGC collapses

RecursiveDragon Jan 5

Can we at least update the market photo

Yes

Potential payout$500.00