This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify. Intentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incident—where a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash— will not qualify regardless of damage. Military contractors will qualify only if confirmed to be operating under the direct command or coordination of the respective state’s armed forces (e.g. the Battle of Khasham would not qualify). The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
24H VOLUME
$1.1M
LIQUIDITY
$1.1M
BALANCE
$0
Comments (18)
sdwegtws Jun 13
There is higher chance for Putin and Trump clash on bed than this.
drfeyhgreretg Jun 13
There is higher chance for Putin and Trump clash on bed than this.
vasidjey May 19
no, impossible. no one needs it
RealTima Mar 22
This one is the easiest 10% of your life!
-0- Jan 25
in or lmfao
0x785B82d2fe0EdD02E3537479E6fe4A9b3d8BeBA3-1720420649193 Jan 17
In what world would that happen?!?!
Thodore Jan 8
Russia’s conventional forces are too depleted from the Ukraine stalemate to take on a U.S. carrier strike group head-on. Instead of a 'clash' by a specific date, expect 'hybrid escalation
crypto-basenji Jan 7
Underpriced af Russia just sent a submarine to escort a sanctioned oil tanker off coast of Venezuela. [link removed]
StockStrike1 Nov 30
tracking the right wallets saves you from overthinking these markets
StockStrike1 Nov 30
insider activity been picking up quietly on this one, just putting it out there
DFK Nov 26
Even for a Jesus comeback or aliens engineering the pyramids, there are generous souls willing to buy yes. But not on Trump and Putin clashing apparently...
Nadmi Sep 23
There is higher chance for Putin and Trump clash on bed than this.
samyyice Aug 1
bros... nothing ever happens rmember
stubbornWizard Jun 2
indirect conflicts count as well, eh? Such as if another country has issues with US or Russia and they come to help … not unlikely this year imo
context1 May 29
americans still dont understand russians.
GenaTheBondKilIer May 29
Don't tell us what we're going to feel, we're trying to solve a problem.
context1 May 29
7c price seems fair IMO
Termxy May 29
what the hell is this
