This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Mexico is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify. Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
24H VOLUME
$731.0K
LIQUIDITY
$731.0K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)
0xE5F66FFad296DCb104adBA1D0ae276989ADbd9F2-1782698793723 Jul 30
Ok...go win
ARDBR0 Jun 13
Yes
FerociousProgress Jun 11
Soon
butterbrot May 22
should as long as its on mexican soil
ebrachai May 4
Does striking cartels count?
tony90125 Apr 3
when will this market resolve
Run4ik Apr 2
I haven`t given my money
Belgaron Apr 2
Thank you for playing
tony90125 Apr 1
someone to resole this
arrieta Mar 19
Blah, blah, blah. We keep waiting.
0x4D1f46B51dbD304e0c03D2435a613C64eC1BCB61-1767975517878 Mar 18
This will for sure happen this year. Trump made it clear.
taroquere Mar 14
theres no way this is happening hahhaha
Kickstand8 Mar 7
[link removed]
Kickstand8 Mar 7
President Trump in Florida: "The epicenter of cartel violence is Mexico. The Mexican cartels are fueling and orchestrating much of the bloodshed and chaos in this hemisphere, and the United States government will do whatever is necessary to defend our national security."
guybelownotsmart Mar 7
We will send missiles right into their living room. - Trump on the cartels just now
0xc327CcdEAbf1BdBd98722C4C2A360F2C3FDC31f5-1742139313586 Mar 4
Unlikely
Belgaron Mar 4
lol keep buying your 1 cts
MGGA.FAN Mar 4
mexico and cuba is next until this month
guybelownotsmart Mar 4
Ww3 Side quests: squash/strike all the bad ppl in South America before they get thru the border that means Mexico is the last stop
PaddyAlpha Feb 24
Its for a airstrike not just us army
0x6abe7704bd2c9812E1f74A6B01a61AC7368ED6a5-1744064218199 Feb 24
We can see your position...
GambleAllTheMoney Feb 23
Why is my withdrawal blocked for review !?
McDinero Feb 22
Nope, I was just curiois
Belgaron Feb 22
Trump already in Mexico. Total invasion. We are now State 52. Keep buying !!!
TheDisciplinedPathOfGambling Feb 22
waiitt
Bromley86 Feb 22
You should probably buy then.
McDinero Feb 22
I expected to see a 100% on yes given that it is suspected the involvement of the US army on taking down CJNG cartel's leader 🤔
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Feb 12
Now, due to the DHS shutdown, Mexican cartels will be able to fly even more party balloons with impunity. Democrats hate their country!
diadjaid Feb 11
Must've been a Mexican Cartel Party Balloon. Such an egregious aggressive act cannot go unpunished! Trump will strike in retaliation within the week.
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Feb 11
NOTAM was caused by a party balloon, according to CBS news. This is turning into one of the best media stories of 2026.
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Feb 11
NOTAM was caused by a swarm of Mexican cartel drones entering US airspace (possibly to smuggle drugs). The US will retaliate in Mexican territory as Mexico is proven unable to prevent cartel operations and guarantee US citizen security.
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Feb 11
The operation is over.
0x855514264b90a451fccf743d9E52928A4Df459fD-1734046038374 Feb 11
Watch this story develop today. Buy low.
0x15075A147f7f1Dbd55cc3Fbc5bc2DF666727D5f1-1762972895181 Feb 11
They lifted the NOTAM, stoopid
StarMaster Feb 11
Return flight from Little Saint James?
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Feb 11
Just Google it, stupid
Epstein Feb 11
I just landed in El Paso and there are dozens of Blackhawks just sitting here on the tarmac. I counted at least 500 men in all-black with Proud Boys logos marching in goose step back and forth across the taxiway. I went up to one and asked him what he was doing there, and he said "Making America Great Again".
0x15075A147f7f1Dbd55cc3Fbc5bc2DF666727D5f1-1762972895181 Feb 11
Source?
bernardbulletin Feb 11
I have a feeling Trump is about to strike El Paso
Glodisdal Feb 11
Don't forget this "nothing-ever-happens-us-strike-edition" market. Buy "no" there. In March, Iran market no. Get a favorable price for Mexico at the end of the day.
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Feb 11
Another NOTAM was issued before the joint US-Mexico operation to arrest the Ski druglord. Patel said that the US was ready to strike in support of the ground operation if needed.
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Feb 11
Both leaders used to suck, now they are ‘fantastic’ in trump’s words.
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Feb 11
It’s clear Trump admin struck agreements with Sheinbaum and Petro (colombia) for joint actions against cartels. Trump could use a few good headlines these days.
Kati.shi Feb 11
I don't think this "special military operation" will go as smooth as Venezuela
0x15075A147f7f1Dbd55cc3Fbc5bc2DF666727D5f1-1762972895181 Feb 11
Now is the best time to buy in if its gonna happen! Buy green!
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d Feb 11
10 days of NOTAM
yesilikeit Feb 11
NOTAM POSTED FOR EL PASO, TEXAS FOR "SPECIAL SECURITY REASONS" AND IS NOW CONSIDERED "NATIONAL DEFENSE AIR SPACE".
Chococremeux Feb 9
That northern neighbor is openly corrupt and is creating a king. Cant tell which one is more corrupt anymore.
Orthotropics-Fund Feb 3
It will pay out $1 per each share you have
Belgaron Feb 3
Viva La Mexico.
