This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Japan between November 17, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Japanese military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however Japan Coast Guard (JCG) is not. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
24H VOLUME
$1.3M
LIQUIDITY
$1.3M
BALANCE
$0
Comments (30)
ydadawan Jun 29
你说的对，那我买no了😄
Youtube-yebbu May 1
Bet your entire fortune on No.
EveryPoopooIsPeepeeTime Mar 25
I'd rather lose every prediction I ever make than being Chinese lol, paper dragon
ihe Mar 24
lil bro got 3.37 for his biggest win
0xb89C23E8f3F2BfE290fB015Cb285359C5108dC0B-1772401307307 Mar 24
The “May 15 Incident” in 1932, in which the prime minister was assassinated, and the “February 26 Incident” in 1936, in which key political figures in Tokyo were massacred Since Sanae Takaichi took office, public sentiment in Japan has gradually shifted from xenophobia and anti-Chinese sentiment to an escalation involving violent incidents similar to those of the Shōwa era, and the likelihood of conflict between China and Japan is on the rise.
0xb89C23E8f3F2BfE290fB015Cb285359C5108dC0B-1772401307307 Mar 24
A serious incident occurred earlier today (March 24, 2026)—a 20-something active-duty second lieutenant in the Japan Ground Self-Defense Force, armed with a knife, scaled the wall and forced his way into the Chinese Embassy in Japan, threatening to kill people “in the name of God.”
EveryPoopooIsPeepeeTime Mar 20
Nothing will happen, the chinese are weak and afraid
DontTrustMe Feb 28
Nah, it's probably due to some military exercises sh*t in the sea.
EveryPoopooIsPeepeeTime Feb 28
The jew-iran war
DontTrustMe Feb 28
What piece of news triggered the spike for Yes exactly?
TgGX Feb 26
Easy money
YesMannnn Feb 14
又是一个检验智商的盘口
YesMannnn Feb 14
free money, but Taiwan market provides more
yar0x Jan 7
lol
Trumpf-117 Jan 6
Nice try PM of Japan’s burner acct
EveryPoopooIsPeepeeTime Jan 4
Not only does nothing ever happens, the Chinese have a paper dragon army and are cowards.
NxbYid Dec 30
Its free money
qizhan Dec 23
Keep inner peace
-0- Dec 22
ur m0m is
Triggerismad Dec 22
can we just kill all the japs already?
SatoshiBladerunner Dec 21
whale accumulation here is wild, something brewing
TungstenTamaki Dec 10
INSANE HOW THIS HASNT MOVED AT ATLL DESPITE RADAR LOCK
garlictrump Nov 25
I'm ready with the U_lock
garlictrump Nov 25
fight ! fight !
deah12 Nov 25
This is even funnier than the taiwan one
SuperGod Nov 25
Fuck japan . fuck it.
Sleinnnn Nov 19
typo
Little-whale Nov 19
China Communist regime is coming to the end. They need a war to prolong it
0xD0Cb8592CAFBAF06e2541574b9d4BE486bB67828-1763487220364 Nov 18
Whats this about military engagement between Chinese and Philippine military forces.
Cowpew Nov 18
Will they have a full, intentional war before 2027? No way, zero chance. Japan is protected by the US treaty, and China knows that starting a fight means bringing the US Navy into the Pacific, which they desperately want to avoid.
