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Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

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Eventcmtla2qnl0tp8mv011bafgrax
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI. A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.

24H VOLUME

$3.6K

LIQUIDITY

$3.6K

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (5)

svuxvwhxbxb Sep 5

2028 YES at 51% seems too high. CMI requires a qualifying publication, then at least 2 years of examination and general acceptance before it even begins detailed consideration. After that, there is still a separate expert committee review. A new 2026 proof could be completely correct and still easily miss the 2028 deadline.

Snow-White Sep 5

retard "h-numbers" simply LOVES buying bonds that are not bonds, what a stupid piece of shit

Snow-White Sep 5

H-NUMBERS is one of the stupidest creatures to ever touch this site,. Needs to be locked up next to his Minnesota judge friend, on account of his IMBECILITY.

Snow-White Sep 5

oh, this is where the brain-dead dumbfuq who thought they would NEVER convict the Minnesota judge hangs out to distort markets and stupidly bonds out nonbonds, the CRETIN H-NUMBERS

0x00C9a9EaD7f1e8BE23768e2F1c5dD528f9e343b7-1769073893148 Aug 9

The thing is that even if it's solved, CMI has a rule of 2 years wait for "accepting" a proof. So that's actually a tricky one.

December 31, 2026

Potential payout$357.14