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US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

Tech

Eventcmtla1ou006limv017m9es54r
Closes in

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

24H VOLUME

$26.6K

LIQUIDITY

$26.6K

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (3)

Ravager Jul 27

The only real COL application in the pipeline is Fermi America in Texas and they haven't even submitted their site data yet. That's due late 2026, construction starts 2027, first reactor in 2033. The NRC still has to finish a safety review, an environmental review, and hold a hearing before it can issue anything. None of that happens in five months. The fastest COL ever took four years.

-estoic Jan 29

That's not a fact, it's an opinion.

LisaMalory Jan 29

In fact, this work should have started long ago to meet the electricity needs of artificial intelligence.

Yes

Potential payout$227.27