Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
24H VOLUME
$81.8K
LIQUIDITY
$81.8K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (41)
Arvid2 9h ago
No on magdalena Andersson is basically free money…
ludvignyberg Sep 4
The market has it all wrong,
manlets Sep 3
He said himself he’s aiming for it 2030. Basically he won’t try now
Fruktfisk Sep 3
If we dismiss bloc realignments we have no reason to believe would happen, the case for the incumbent government is contingent on multiple circumstances. L needs to clear the 4% treshhold and the gap in the polls needs to be closed. Then you remember that you're looking at the single most favorable poll for the government in months if not years. It's not impossible for it to be the start of a changing trend but it might as well be a notch in the curve. To me Magdalena is looking more than fair at this level.
thekingofthejungle Sep 3
no sir
thekingofthejungle Sep 3
easy ah bet
bartimeeus Sep 3
There is chance for Jimmie.
TheSharpBettorZA Sep 3
Centre won't join coalition with SD in it, so that's a no-go
KenanEvren Sep 2
Because im betting on other things instead.... all I said is Ulf is undervalued.
GollumGekko Sep 2
So why are you betting only $10
thekingofthejungle Sep 2
gå ba all in på ulf
KenanEvren Sep 2
the gap between the bloc's is only 2,6% at the moment. the Liberals are back to 3.3% (and has a good chance of reaching the 4% threashold). Also, the additional risk that the Center party might switch to coaliton, back to the right as they used to be. These things considered makes Ulf Kristersson severly undervalued. Yes Magdalena got the upper hand but it is not as clear cut as the odds here make it out to be.
vinii Sep 2
Wake up Sweden
mcpetrus Aug 31
C has definitively ruled out cooperation with SD and expressed serious reservations regarding V. That is precisely why they are benefiting compared to their direct rival, L. However Ulf can only remain in office with SDs support. Therefore, he cannot stay in office. It looks like it will come down to a left-wing minority government—either S/MP/C or S/MP/V.
0x539CAdD00c32aa5aaC815573940c5CF50eb92376-1767975083675 Aug 31
Well C can jump to the right. They don´t like their leftwing coalition partners (V) for example. Go back one and a half decade and C was on the right. If they switch sides the right wins and Ulf pulls it of
KenanEvren Aug 30
it will probably be Magdalena, but stranger things have happened, and the odds are looking juicy.
snayaye Aug 29
yeah polls need to be completely wrong
AustralianGuy Aug 27
Even if L meets the threshold he would still lose.
manlets Aug 23
True.
mcpetrus Aug 22
How is Ulf going to pull it off? L is polling below 2%; unless the polls are completely wrong, he needs a miracle.
Swinglish Aug 19
😏
seaviewablue Aug 18
Andersson will surely win
dorrisankunda Aug 17
The Liberal party dipping below the 4% threshold completely ruins Kristersson’s parliamentary math. Andersson has the clearest and most stable path to forming the next government after September 13.
seaviewablue Aug 10
Make Sweden liberal again
seaviewablue Aug 2
This is a clear win for Andersson
manlets Aug 1
Magdalena värderad 90%. Om rödgrön vinner blir det då henne
seaviewablue Jul 29
Almost certain Anderson will win
Asahiko Jul 6
immigrant background is just too large I am sorry but if most of them hae 1 parent swedish and they did their whole education there then they are swedish by blood, have swedish families and all swedish values from that + educations. Also pretty sure that not a good outlook there is no way 50% even in France we don't have 50% xD and we have much reasons to have much more immigrants (we had a lot of pro immigrants policies, we had many colonies etc...). But you are right about the fact Europe generally need a bit stricter policies, people need to speak the langage, know and respect the culture etc...
longtermgains Jun 25
If polls are correct, Sweden is a lost country. Right now, 29% of Swedes under 15 come from immigrant backgrounds. A decade more of left-wing politics, and that will pass 50%. Then you'll see a Muslim party in parliament that will gobble up the rapidly growing muslim population and that will be it.
vmer1991g Jun 25
Magdalena Andersson feels like the safest play
snayaye May 23
topp rasism ❤️💪
manlets May 20
tidöpartierna kommer inte ens vinna. omöjligt att uffe blir stadsminister nu lol
snayaye May 15
how proudly you hold 11 shares
Bokis Apr 7
Jimmie 🇸🇪💪
PortnoyAndHodge Mar 4
Pigs will fly long before Elisabeth Tand Ringqvist becomes PM :-)
Sindra Feb 3
Magdalena tyvärr :(
rontro28 Feb 2
fuck off
AppleWorm Jan 22
Never gonna happen
St-IO Jan 20
jimmie akesson 2026
646 Jan 20
hope is there
pedrom555 Jan 19
Jimmie Akesson is the favorite to lead if a new TITO agreement happens. Although SD is in front, latest polls show that TITO still has enough so Jimmie is way to undervalued
