This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
24H VOLUME
$103.7K
LIQUIDITY
$103.7K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)
CryptoLiu Sep 6
LP奖励
how851116 Sep 6
用真金白銀釣嗎
CryptoLiu Sep 3
大户又开始钓鱼了🤣
altair11 Sep 3
vamos a ver....
mrJB1 Sep 2
Have to look at precedent. Not sure what any arguments against would be other than democratic senators being forced by Warrens banking lobbyist and Sanders anti capitalism delusion
Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc Sep 1
If you buy Yes, there's no point in finding more confirmation bias for your thesis, you'll only gain value by steel-manning the opposition (excluding the lazy "insider" take)
Camelcc Sep 1
few knows the vote on 15th was via UC
mrJB1 Sep 1
My estimated count: Republicans: 51-52 yes (Hawley no; Moran a coin flip leaning no-then-yes based on precedent) Democrats: 11 Democrats, including Ossoff is close to a lock if the GENIUS pattern holds; 7 Democrats is the genuine swing bloc — getting just 2-3 of these seven on the cloture vote specifically would be enough to clear 60 even without full Tier 1 turnout. There's is a media narrative that is trying to portray all democrats being against crypto while that is definitely not the case based on precedent (specifically passing of the GENIUS Act. Not to mention how many of the Democrats that are lobbied by Crypto companies and funded now ahead of their reelection. 15% is just good value.
mrJB1 Sep 1
Of course, but passing cloture will improve odds drastically.
TruongMyLan Sep 1
Ya I dunno about 50/50, but 15% is definitely value in my eyes
Camelcc Sep 1
yenno theres more than one cloture vote right
mrJB1 Aug 31
Strongly believe the odds of cloture passing on Sept 15th is 50/50 even though JD Vance, Brian Armstrong, CFTC chairman and many more think it will pass. Not saying one is not to believe in them, more that the odds here are drastically misleading.
sadqc.deroy Aug 28
The banks are launching their own blockchain called BankChain to manage Stablecoins among other things.
0xB6756421bd99A7cd51e1c205766d7E51D93d3D65-1756688450800 Aug 27
No it’s legit the banks are still not supporting this bill. The banks need to publicly say they support it
CryptoLiu Aug 27
这个盘口还是被操控的太严重了
mrJB1 Aug 27
Agree, buyers wanting to start the bull run should be wanting a higher Polymarket percentage. Not sure why they are not engaging in it
1amur Aug 27
Yes. All news and AI models using this % data from Polymarket to answer question about market potential in near future
CryptoLiu Aug 27
按道理btc价格上涨，yes也应该是大幅上涨才正常
mrJB1 Aug 27
Precisely, its way to cheap since there is no liquidity, and the crazy part is that news outlet cite Polymarket odds. Bro i have a normal salary, im literally top 20 buyers for Yes. Serious investors who believe Clarity Act will pass bet on that by buying BTC and other Crypto, not by placing a bet in a illiquid market.
1amur Aug 27
Just compare top 5 NO vs YES holders profiles. Agree it's market-makers mind game
mrJB1 Aug 27
BTC shorters panicking, trying to lower Polymarket since BTC is pumping...
MoneyOcean3779 Aug 27
我应该做吗？
grouched Aug 27
Brother was just thinking about how cheap it's become to affect public sentiment on literally anything. It's way too cheap right now to control prices on prediction markets. Not sure if that's what's happening here but could be
WatchTheTape Aug 26
indeed
CryptoLiu Aug 26
我只是想要保个本
sarahuzlauraaz Aug 26
hmm, seems so many people bet now on yes
mrJB1 Aug 26
I believe BTC shorters have a lot of impact on BTC by lowering the Polymarket sentiment on the Clarity Act, essentially lowering the sentiment of a crypto bull run. It is quite cheap for traders with hundred of millions of shorts to risk a couple percent loss on 500k by shorting the Polymarket probability. Essentially leading to news outlets, X posts about how Clarity Act chances are dropping and that a bull run may not be imminent.
bethatguyad Aug 26
应为他买了ye s
MoneyOcean3779 Aug 26
你为什么这么确定结果会是肯定的？
MoneyOcean3779 Aug 26
should i bet on no because i think yes is more reasonable
MoneyOcean3779 Aug 26
you bet alot of money why do you trust in the bill passing?
MoneyOcean3779 Aug 26
give me a reason why i should bet on this and how can i track it?
fillthx Aug 25
ok
wimpi Aug 24
they know nothing, they just move the market to buy both sides for sure profit from multiple accs
CryptoLiu Aug 24
半个多月之前也是这样，不过价格又恢复了，估计明后天应该也会恢复到之前到价格
SIMOMEGA Aug 24
ye its very volatile
0xB6756421bd99A7cd51e1c205766d7E51D93d3D65-1756688450800 Aug 24
They can change it year isn’t over yet
mrJB1 Aug 24
How sure can insiders be of a NO vote? Are they that positive that they know exactly how many will vote NO?
Anmar Aug 24
Don't look at this percentage. This market do a lot of manipulation
IASNumberF1V3 Aug 24
I hope not
ssc2 Aug 24
狗大头忍不住砸盘了
CryptoLiu Aug 24
不是我啊，没挂卖一价
ssc2 Aug 24
别压盘啊
CryptoLiu Aug 24
no大户这么猖狂吗？每次都是新帐号几十万的吃，苦了我们做LP的
backback Aug 24
they're insider
WatchTheTape Aug 24
All the big new accounts are on the NO side. We're cooked.
Vainilla943821 Aug 22
Come on!!!!!
.afavron Aug 21
where is drop guys?
.asyverex Aug 21
jora sehdg?
btc313 Aug 20
It cracks me up that an asset once coveted by such hardcore libertarians are now begging daddy trump for permission to has bitcoins plz.
