This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R. R. Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify. This market is concerned only with the announcement of release. The resolution source for this market will be official information from George R. R. Martin or a consensus of credible sources.
24H VOLUME
$15.5K
LIQUIDITY
$15.5K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (14)
enrico-vasaio Apr 13
When the sun rises in the west and sets in the east. When the seas go dry and mountains blow in the wind like leaves.
moth-man Mar 18
This market is a little misleading.. he could still announce it in 2026 but that has nothing to do with it's estimated publishing date.
wardholm Feb 6
Let's go George!!!!
masnjr Feb 1
Sadly buying No on this might be the most free money market in PM😭😭😭 we are never getting this book
eleazar Jan 30
A better question would be before GTA VII ...
SummerWind Jan 19
"The winds of winter" released before the GTA VI?
Moiro Jan 19
Valar Morghulis
iutwpfal Jan 19
Writing is hard
Clapham Jan 17
Please don't let this drama have a terrible ending, okay? Give me three dragons and I could conquer the world!
SummerWind Jan 17
The winter is coming
enrico-vasaio Jan 16
hopefully soon
Mansfield Jan 16
George mentioned yesterday that if he could just get the TV projects off his back, he could finish 'pretty soon.
FrontierPsychiatrist Jan 16
lol this is the least likely event on all of polymarket
Yeezuus Jan 16
obviously not
