This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
24H VOLUME
$181.5K
LIQUIDITY
$181.5K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)
Ozir Aug 28
Surprise coming 😂
Price031 Aug 26
yes
crshel2 Aug 18
0 bps now and 15%, hmmm
Linguine12 Aug 14
Are people still looking for perps?
Jeffrey-Einstein Aug 12
no, jerome is the king of the world
mkskstk1 Aug 7
whats going on here?
Stefnc Aug 6
Changer la photo de Powell
toneth Aug 2
They dont update that picture cause Jpow printer go Burrrr
Jeffrey-Einstein Jul 31
wont happen in the same year, fed policy actions take anywhere between 8-12 months or even longer to realize their impact on the economy, therefore it would be premature to do anything until you see what your cuts or hikes are doing to the economy
LA17 Jul 30
yes
0xD31e0f4637C081aB6B27274b11483fce638F541e-1762583508235 Jul 30
If the Fed raises interest rates by 25 basis points and then cuts rates by 25 basis points, is this regarded as one rate cut?
chessbot Jul 29
You are a very good boy
Cryptostradamus Jul 29
If I'm so delusional, then why am I up 4x on my account since I started polymarket last February, while you're down badly?
chessbot Jul 29
Uhm, actually the betting on No's has been a recent strategy switch which has been quite profitable as thankfully there exists delusional people like yourself. For the moment there are no markets where I have any tangible advantage so I just hold some relatively safe bets
Cryptostradamus Jul 29
Also looking at your past performance, always betting on No, nothing bad is ever gonna happen, hasn't brought you too much success. No offense.
Cryptostradamus Jul 29
Projections don't matter. Look at what happened at the start of covid. They made two emergency meetings and dropped interest rates to zero immediately. That's what happens when the system threatens to crash and it will happen again.
chessbot Jul 28
Alright, well that $7.5 is gone then... They aren't cutting in 2026. The projections suggest potential cuts in 2027 however
Cryptostradamus Jul 28
How can I lose "so much money". I put only 7.5$. My avg price is 0.3c. If I win, I'll make 2500$. It's an asymmetric bet and I have a good chance of winning it because I know what's coming this fall.
sorcerer.01 Jul 27
dudjbdj retard of the day my lord
chessbot Jul 23
You will lose so much money and I will just get to sit back and see it happend
8GF679 Jul 23
2+ let's go!
0xBdE37A19aAb4EBaEFAf7263E7C6010982f6e317f-1773683866961 Jul 17
perps: 00jbvof3
0xBdE37A19aAb4EBaEFAf7263E7C6010982f6e317f-1773683866961 Jul 17
Perps Code: 00jbvof3
hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 15
Soft PPI sinks the hike argument. Data don't lie. Hikes pushed to December while cuts is in the table.
hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 15
Soft CPI print would allow for possible rate cut in Oct/Dec with QT to offset it
Cryptostradamus Jul 13
12+ let's go! I told you guys. This year is not gonna end well for the worlds economy and then the Fed will have no other choice.
Cryptostradamus Jul 11
You guys don't know what's coming. Economies are going to collapse this fall. Interest rates will drop to zero. 12+ will give me a 300x return.
GJUIIO68 Jul 9
ye s s
gh987645 Jul 9
Sticky inflation and hawkish Fed signals make zero or one 2026 rate cut the most plausible outcome
000x000 Jul 8
odds can shift pretty quickly
hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 7
Watch Warsh would say policy is neutral then start rate cuts with QT
ThePolyAnalytics Jun 27
Rules: "If the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each)."
Cryptostradamus Jun 27
What if they cut 75bps at once, does that count as 1 or 3 rate cuts?
Cryptostradamus Jun 27
After a black swan event, rates can drop quickly.
Jeffrey-Einstein Jun 24
There will 100% be no rate cuts.
zippo32moldranz Jun 23
there is no outcome that can currently be described as 100%
rainbowlilies Jun 14
A rate increase is not a cut, so the counter stays at 0.
rtuhjrtjrtyrt Jun 14
How would a rate increase resolve? 0 resolved to Yes, or everything resolves to No?
Juanjoin Jun 6
habra recortes seguroooo
poxiy8067 Jun 2
9 - unreal
Thaws May 28
How does 1 hike 1 cut resolve?
Jeffrey-Einstein May 26
theres barely even a single cut on the table, the consensus is no cuts or a hike. the data doesnt support any kind of cuts now with rising unemployment, slow job growth, and sticky inflation. the fed has no choice but to wait and see which of the two forces is stronger
0xbF10fd75fa2247dFC16237211343a07f2c579136-1773548880632 May 23
por cuantas van?
0xa18e47280B87B8EB23e5c1204CB7fb16d94028C7-1776684219694 May 23
Two cuts feels like the consensus path right now
0xff968FC0Ad16b03Dd922092b3683279dB671f72D-1774433522271 May 14
poly98 predicts at least one.. hoping its right
RadiantLegend May 14
To the Moon 📈
000x000 May 9
my ranked teamates
crypto-basenji May 5
LOL
RadiantLegend May 5
chill fam 😂
RadiantLegend May 5
Yea.. 0 resolve to Yes bro
