This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
24H VOLUME
$137.4K
LIQUIDITY
$137.4K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (50)
frek2024 Sep 3
free money
Mikelious Sep 3
Not coming out for general release
Arman2 Sep 3
crine
addicts Sep 2
GPT-6 Astra tomorrow, gg
yen4u Sep 2
welcome to the rice field motherfucker
SingletonFamilyFund Sep 2
some of you would probably be better served doing agricultural labor in rural Nebraska
0.5percent Sep 2
-8k pnl man
Raskell Sep 2
Calm down. No is not a lock. It all depends on the framing.
Raskell Sep 2
"news"
SickandTired Sep 2
He is citing The Information - a reputed tech media brand
SickandTired Sep 2
Based on the reporting The Information published, OpenAI considered branding Astra as GPT-6 and then chose not to. They are saving it for a future model. Go search this news
Raskell Sep 2
Very clearly? The person you are quoting is a nobody that just promotes their discord. They have been wrong more than they have been right. Anyway make sure you put the word "scammer" on a macro-key, because it'll be hard to argue in discord when your cortisol spikes even higher than now!
Raskell Sep 2
Astra will very likely qualify and you will be kicking and screaming in Discord.
SickandTired Sep 2
Per The Information, although the name "GPT-6" was considered for Astra, they decided against calling it that That narrows down the possibilities essentially just to "GPT-5.7 Astra", or just "GPT-Astra". And it suggests they're planning for Bel to be the 6-worthy jump x. com/synthwavedd/status/2095106266368492012
Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc Sep 2
It's just now getting released, previously it was private invite-only if that. "A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public."
SickandTired Aug 30
"there has always been different teams for pre-training and post training" what do you have to say now? accept that you are dumb as hell
President-XI Aug 17
GPT-6 too risky to release.
0xFB955D7154D2f103c3a3bC6f773C28741540d9f1-1767719546709 Aug 10
Does this not clearly say that if the model is released with GPT ASTRA it wont be counted? GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
paint-by-numbers Aug 8
But is that a successor to 5?
Randy42132 Aug 8
because you cant just release a dumb ass model that doesnt surpass your biggest competitor when you release it a month or two later than them. and the later this goes on , the worse it looks for openai.
Randy42132 Aug 8
by openai, "OpenAI named Astra as its next major model on August 1, 2026"
Randy42132 Aug 8
OpenAI named Astra as its next major model on August 1, 2026
RATHMA4 Aug 8
ASTRA COUNTED AS 6 ? RULE UNCLEAR
RATHMA4 Aug 8
WILL ASTRA BE COUNTED AS 6 ? RULE IS VAGUE
QMG-CORE Aug 7
AXIOS: OpenAI slows release of Astra model citing cyber capabilities
Linslav Aug 7
New pretrain = new major version. GPT 6 Astra, then they will release GPT 6 Sol, Terra and so on... through model distillation. 5.3, 5.6... those where Reinforcement learning improvements only.
Ozir Aug 7
Prep trading code : 01gpolj4
paint-by-numbers Aug 6
"recognized as a successor" by who?
TheRealWarMonger Aug 4
Thanks boys
TheRealWarMonger Aug 4
Giving free money again ?
Brovadana Jul 31
Yes Opus 5 is basically outperforming GPT 5.6 Sol. No way OpenAI can release GPT 6 and have it be 2nd or 3rd best model. They will just keep doing more 5 series upgrades until they can step change it up to #1.
Incredible-Bamboo Jul 25
will GPT-6-7 count?
SickandTired Jul 16
What does Opus have to do with OpenAI? You are just making shit up
kitn Jul 15
There has always been different teams for pre-training and post-training. GPT 5.x models are just GPT 5 model but with good post training. OpenAI will have to release GPT 6 which will be a completely different model all together and will outperform current Fable. They need it since Opus 5 is going to outperform 5.6 that will be coming this month or by mid August for sure.
neonloop9994 Jul 13
way better than trying to trade yourself
fudc Jul 9
rewrapped from US
GothABG Apr 29
anything china releases is largely just rewrapped from US companies
iutwpfal Apr 26
People said I was crazy when I said this was a good no buy because the market couldn't have been that dumb but yeah, I guess it was exactly that dumb
Planet55 Apr 19
Can someone tell me if the June 30th odds are so high because people are expecting spud to be gpt6 and it releasing next week or because people expect it to release shortly after?
toutiege Apr 12
GPT6's technology is utterly uninnovative and they dare not release it，comparing it to DeepSeek is a joke.
0x6F55e92828a64eE91117Bf5f960C81CEaC01880b-1730864209883 Mar 19
dumb
dodododo23 Mar 3
Thry are going to release gpt 5.4 then mybe gpt 6
Clarks Feb 25
Stacking No shares on a March release because hallucinating a model launch that soon is the real AI dream. 96.4 cents for a month of waiting is a 📉 textbook liquidity park for anyone not expecting a miracle.
Enes369 Jan 31
After superbowl adds exposure they will definitly release Gpt-6 (even thought it will just be 5.3) marketing
Companjo Jan 26
Development already started, it will most likely be launched in 2026
Skrzacik Jan 24
i can tip you 1 dollar after i have had your sister
TheGoonMaster Jan 22
U guys r rping and should let me join; I'd like to take it in a more sexual direction
Zak911 Dec 29
Can you please tip me 1 dollar so i can try this platform. Appreciate it
compulsiveGamblingLLC Dec 23
openAI is supposed to release GPT 5.5 sometime late Q1, therefore its pretty unlikely they release gpt 6 before end of 2026.
Xeny Nov 22
vraser is garbo info source
